Notes For Thursday, October 31, 2002

McBride Poll: Bush 48%, McBride 45%

The race has closed to within the margin of error based on a McBride campaign survey taken on Monday and Tuesday nights of this week, with Jeb Bush getting 48% of the vote and Bill McBride receiving 45% of the vote (these proportions include voters who lean toward the candidates), and the remaining 7% of voters saying that they are undecided. The gap that had been seven percentage points in McBride's survey taken over the weekend has closed to just three points with less than a week to go.

McBride is holding a strong lead among the core Democratic constituencies (he leads among Democrats by 85% to 7% and among African Americans by 84% to 8%) and, for the first time, he has opened up a double-digit lead among independent voters (48% to 38%).

(Garin–Hart–Yang Research interviewed 608 likely Florida voters on October 26 and 27 and an additional 604 likely Florida voters on October 28 and 29. Each survey has a standard statistical margin of sampling error of ±4.1%).
11:33 AM [Go to current Florida Politics site (no popup ads)]

From the UK's Telegraph: "To win, Bill McBride must re-build that angry Jewish-black-immigrant coalition of 2000. But time is fast running out." 6:05 AM [Go to current Florida Politics site (no popup ads)]


An interesting piece on where the national parties have put their money. For the Dems, it hasn't been Florida. 6:02 AM [Go to current Florida Politics site (no popup ads)]


Oct 28 - 29 Poll: Bush 51%, McBride 43%, 5% undecided; 3.5% margin of error. Conducted Mason Dixon. 5:57 AM [Go to current Florida Politics site (no popup ads)]